#Tag · bonfire.cafe

Excellent but grim graphic marrying the Keeling Curve with warming stripes in the manner of @ed_hawkins’s work.

The graphic is by Peter Gericke, Marius Hasenheit, @muellertadzio, and Wiebke Witt, via Rees Cat Ophuls, and featured in https://climatejustice.social/@muellertadzio/115541168340873352

Graphic with headline: climate dioxide levels rise, global warming continues.

The growth in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels from 1975 to 2025 on the x-axis is plotted on a graph that has parts per million (ppm) on the y-axis. The ppm rises from 320 to 424 across the 50 year period.

The area underneath the plotted line is filled with climate warming stripes that are light blue for 1975, shifting to a deep red-brown for 2025.

Along the curve are dots representing and labelled with some of the world’s significant climate change conferences and agreements:

- first world climate conference in 1979
- first IPCC assessment report in 1990
- first UN climate change conference in 1995
- Kyoto protocol entered into force in 2005
- Copenhagen accord in 2009
- Paris agreement adopted in 2015
- COP30 in 2025. — Graphic with headline: climate dioxide levels rise, global warming continues. The growth in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels from 1975 to 2025 on the x-axis is plotted on a graph that has parts per million (ppm) on the y-axis. The ppm rises from 320 to 424 across the 50 year period. The area underneath the plotted line is filled with climate warming stripes that are light blue for 1975, shifting to a deep red-brown for 2025. Along the curve are dots representing and labelled with some of the world’s significant climate change conferences and agreements: - first world climate conference in 1979 - first IPCC assessment report in 1990 - first UN climate change conference in 1995 - Kyoto protocol entered into force in 2005 - Copenhagen accord in 2009 - Paris agreement adopted in 2015 - COP30 in 2025.

Jonathan Schofield

@urlyman@mastodon.social · 3 days ago

#climateDiary

Excellent but grim graphic marrying the Keeling Curve with warming stripes in the manner of @ed_hawkins’s work.

The graphic is by Peter Gericke, Marius Hasenheit, @muellertadzio, and Wiebke Witt, via Rees Cat Ophuls, and featured in https://climatejustice.social/@muellertadzio/115541168340873352

Esther Payne :bisexual_flag: boosted

Jonathan Schofield

@urlyman@mastodon.social · 6 days ago

#climateDiary
When you’re a fossil fuel company with:

- very high and growing decline rates on oil and gas that’s derived from tar sands and shales

- and/or conventional fields heading rapidly towards the end of their profitability, like the North Sea

CCS is a handy way to squeeze out as much oil and gas as possible, and pretend that none of this is a problem for a little longer.

That is its primary utility.
The rest is misdirection and obfuscation.

(Let me know if any of this is wrong)

Jonathan Schofield

@urlyman@mastodon.social · 6 days ago

#climateDiary
When you’re a fossil fuel company with:

- very high and growing decline rates on oil and gas that’s derived from tar sands and shales

- and/or conventional fields heading rapidly towards the end of their profitability, like the North Sea

CCS is a handy way to squeeze out as much oil and gas as possible, and pretend that none of this is a problem for a little longer.

That is its primary utility.
The rest is misdirection and obfuscation.

(Let me know if any of this is wrong)

Jonathan Schofield

@urlyman@mastodon.social · 6 days ago

COP30 opens today.

At least the absence of high level representatives of the US government at COP30 is a more honest representation of what the US position has been at the previous 29 COPs, including during 5 Democratic administrations

#climateDiary

Jonathan Schofield

@urlyman@mastodon.social · last week

“In 2015 our projected deadline for reaching 1.5°C was 27 years away. Now, the application estimates the threshold is only 4 years away, suggesting global warming has accelerated quickly in recent years.

It is important to note this is based on a linear extrapolation, which cannot distinguish between acceleration due to increased greenhouse gases and natural climate variability. Nevertheless, this basic projection offers a clear estimate of the rapid pace of warming”

https://climate.copernicus.eu/rapid-approach-15degc-global-warming-threshold-paris-agreement

The same basis of mapping to a linear trend, but incorporating data covering the 30-year period from 1995 to 2025, results in an extrapolation that reaches 1.5°C in May 2029, approximately 13 years earlier than the previous image.

Visualisation addressing “How close are we to a global warming of 1.5°C?” In which there is:

- an x-axis of time and a y-axis of warming

- a plot of dots representing “global monthly temperature increase above 1850 to 1900 pre-industrial level”

- an averaging of those to a linear trend from 1985 up to data available at the Paris agreement in 2015, represented by a solid line

- a linear extrapolation of that line continuing 30-years into the future, represented by a dashed line.

The dashed line reaches 1.5°C in March 2042.

The data source is ERA5 and the chart is credited to C3S/ECMWF, with logos for “A programme of the European Union”, “Copernicus: Europe’s eyes on Earth”, “Climate Change Service” and “Implemented by ECMWF”. — Visualisation addressing “How close are we to a global warming of 1.5°C?” In which there is: - an x-axis of time and a y-axis of warming - a plot of dots representing “global monthly temperature increase above 1850 to 1900 pre-industrial level” - an averaging of those to a linear trend from 1985 up to data available at the Paris agreement in 2015, represented by a solid line - a linear extrapolation of that line continuing 30-years into the future, represented by a dashed line. The dashed line reaches 1.5°C in March 2042. The data source is ERA5 and the chart is credited to C3S/ECMWF, with logos for “A programme of the European Union”, “Copernicus: Europe’s eyes on Earth”, “Climate Change Service” and “Implemented by ECMWF”.

Jonathan Schofield

@urlyman@mastodon.social replied · last week

…The text above is lightly edited from its linked Copernicus source to fit into a single post.

It’s striking that the text below that I wrote for https://www.portsmouthclimateaction.org.uk just 5 years ago needs a significant update.

Astonishing that we are shifting Earth’s entire climate system so swiftly 😔

#climateDiary

“The changing climate.

Since the start of the industrial era, human activities have warmed the planet by just over 1°C. We are already seeing the consequences. The effects we are having are accelerating. If we carry on as we are, we are putting our community at great risk.”

That text is superimposed on climate warming stripes from 1850 to 2020. — “The changing climate. Since the start of the industrial era, human activities have warmed the planet by just over 1°C. We are already seeing the consequences. The effects we are having are accelerating. If we carry on as we are, we are putting our community at great risk.” That text is superimposed on climate warming stripes from 1850 to 2020.

Jonathan Schofield

@urlyman@mastodon.social · 2 weeks ago

#climateDiary
Hey Brazil, don’t do as we do, and don’t do what we’re helping you to do.

Yours, Oslo
https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:66lbtw2porscqpmair6mir37/post/3m4n5e47tuh2d

BlueSky bridged post from Ketan Joshi, with screenshots, pointing out that it’s…

“Absolutely nuts for Norwegian media to report on Brazil's 'hypocrisy' without mentioning Equinor SPINNING UP THE LARGEST FIELD IN BRAZIL SINCE 2000 - literally days after Equinor celebrated its production start

Another day in the petrostate!!!!! COP30's going to be cool.” — BlueSky bridged post from Ketan Joshi, with screenshots, pointing out that it’s… “Absolutely nuts for Norwegian media to report on Brazil's 'hypocrisy' without mentioning Equinor SPINNING UP THE LARGEST FIELD IN BRAZIL SINCE 2000 - literally days after Equinor celebrated its production start Another day in the petrostate!!!!! COP30's going to be cool.”

Jonathan Schofield

@urlyman@mastodon.social · 3 weeks ago

I noticed today how much the ‘spinner’ in the Atlantic Records logo looks like a hurricane.

All best wishes to the people of Jamaica and Cuba in the coming hours and days

#hurricaneMelissa
#climateDiary

David B. Himself and 2 others boosted

David Whittle

@DaveWhittle@mastodon.social · 3 weeks ago

‘Change course now’: humanity has missed 1.5C climate target, says UN head
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/oct/28/change-course-now-humanity-has-missed-15c-climate-target-says-un-head?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other
#ClimateDiary

the Guardian

‘Change course now’: humanity has missed 1.5C climate target, says UN head

Exclusive: ‘Devastating consequences’ now inevitable but emissions cuts still vital, says António Guterres in sole interview before Cop30

Jonathan Schofield

@urlyman@mastodon.social · 3 weeks ago

…We’re a glass half full culture nudging our glass of existence ever closer to the edge of the table, and thinking we can still drink from the glass when it topples off https://mastodon.social/@urlyman/113418176951770714

Jonathan Schofield

@urlyman@mastodon.social replied · 3 weeks ago

…Nonetheless, while we are pushing this stupidest of all cultures ever in the history of humankind off our table of habitability, we can and should all aspire to our own toy baseball bat to ukulele *energy transition*

https://hachyderm.io/@cam/115446238168660824

#climateDiary

With leg remaining outstretched, tucks baseball bat under one arm and pivots to playing the ukulele and singing.

Dude in sharp clothing who has been bopping motorcyclists on the helmet pulls a ninja move on the pedestrian crossing of a road intersection. Plastic baseball bat extended.

David Whittle

@DaveWhittle@mastodon.social · 3 weeks ago

the Guardian

‘Change course now’: humanity has missed 1.5C climate target, says UN head

Exclusive: ‘Devastating consequences’ now inevitable but emissions cuts still vital, says António Guterres in sole interview before Cop30

Jonathan Schofield

@urlyman@mastodon.social · 4 weeks ago

…This has an added poignance because Portmsouth, where I live, is host to HMS Warrior (1860), the world’s first iron-hulled ironclad steam and sailing ship. It didn’t suffer the fate of the Tayleur but did turn out to be a very expensive misjudgment of British naval procurement.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HMS_Warrior_(1860)

Anyway, The Great Humbling then turns to Dougald talking about his current writing project and that too is worth a brief mention…

Jonathan Schofield

@urlyman@mastodon.social replied · 4 weeks ago

…“The deep roots of the trouble we’re in lie in culture.

If Iwanted to be provocative I’d say we don’t have a climate crisis we have a *culture crisis*, and one of the symptoms of it is this thing that we call climate change or perhaps more helpfully…

ecological and cultural breakdown are two sides of the same process but the ecological is the outside, cultural is the inside and it actually starts from within so that’s what we need to attend to.”

#climateDiary