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This graph, based on ClimateActionTracker.org's latest projections, has global CO₂ₑ emissions peak right about now-ish and then decline by 2100.
Good, but look at the slope of the decline. It's basically a slow linear decline.
That's...not how the world works.
²/ₙ
Compare that to this collection of paths, pulling from IPCC, IEA, and Shell(!).
Forget the title for now and zero in on the paths.
There's IPCC SSP3-7.0 — NYT says that one won't happen. Good.
But more importantly, look at *all* the others, including Shell's most pessimistic.
There's clearly some bad news here, too.
But, for example, natural gas won't be ascendant for much longer, or stay there through the end of the century.
The forces driving down climate tech costs are just too strong.
Argue with exponential growth at your peril.
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