Track of Melissa has taken the storm much more west ward than I hoped, and it's smack S off of Jamaica island. This means the ENE stream which WILL push it NE will go through the most populous area.

Latest estimates put the storm going much further NE, because the ENE stream has solidified and grown stronger, maybe due to Tropical Storm Sonia bumping a mass of air, WSW off Mexico.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/281150.shtml?

#Weather #HurricaneMelissa #Caribbean #NOAA #NHC

Melissa is, now, very much a picture perfect hurricane, 901mbar and 175mph/280kmh sustained winds at the core vortex walls.

The IR signature is scary, but it shows a slight cooling of the core vortex. This means the storm has stopped "feeding" is will hopefully start dissipating energy, as it drags over landmasses. Unfortunately, that energy will be dissipated by wrecking #Jamaica and #Haiti.

#Weather #HurricaneMelissa #caribbean #NOAA #NHC

Track of Melissa has taken the storm much more west ward than I hoped, and it's smack S off of Jamaica island. This means the ENE stream which WILL push it NE will go through the most populous area.

Latest estimates put the storm going much further NE, because the ENE stream has solidified and grown stronger, maybe due to Tropical Storm Sonia bumping a mass of air, WSW off Mexico.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/281150.shtml?

#Weather #HurricaneMelissa #Caribbean #NOAA #NHC