Discussion
“I have never seen an El Niño signal this intense in our forecasts.”
—Prof Adam Scaife, head of long-range forecasting at the UK Met Office.
Although any El Niño is part of an oscillation each one is acting on increasing background heating.
“Earlier this month, the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization warned that El Niño could threaten tens of millions of people in at-risk countries with crisis-level acute food insecurity.”
…The sentence which immediately follows the Scaife quote above says:
“There is no clear evidence that climate change is making El Niño events worse, but its weather impacts are more extreme in a warming world.”
On close reading it’s trying to articulate something quite precisely nuanced.
The trouble is that that laudable scientific aspiration for precision acts as a gateway for Business As Usual. And its effects are very unfucking nuanced.
The asymmetry is off the charts
…Anyway, another day designing for Business As Usual and talking to people doing the Business As Usual business of eradicating habitability for their own kids, but not mentioning that that’s what we’re doing while we’re doing it
@urlyman
I still recall how for several years nincompoops were talking about a "pause" in climate change, because they had deliberately cropped a bit of curve between an el nino year and a la nina year.
All so they could postpone meaningful countermeasures.
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