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Taggart
Taggart
@mttaggart@infosec.exchange  ·  activity timestamp 15 hours ago

You see what's happening right?

They are preventing you from accessing the means of computing, making you reliant on their services in the future they're building.

At astronomical rents.

https://wccftech.com/western-digital-has-no-more-hdd-capacity-left-out/

Wccftech

Western Digital Has No More HDD Capacity Left, as CEO Reveals Massive AI Deals; Brace Yourself For Price Surges Ahead!

HDD capacity from one of the world's largest manufacturers has started to run dry, according to WD's CEO, as major LTAs have been signed out.
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Martin Hamilton
Martin Hamilton
@m@martinh.net replied  ·  activity timestamp 4 minutes ago

@mttaggart Waiting to hear that Sam Altman has personally bought 50% of the hard drives...

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Flock of Nazguls
Flock of Nazguls
@flockofnazguls@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 55 minutes ago

@mttaggart When the "AI" bubble pops, they'll be using all those data centres for massive cloud computing services.

Hang on to your hardware and treat it well.

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roboberto
roboberto
@rotatoe@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 3 hours ago

@mttaggart all these trillions of AI dollars have to amortize themselves.

Sunk cost fallacy par excelence, we have to foot the bill

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Neil Moffatt
Neil Moffatt
@NicelyManifest@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 4 hours ago

@mttaggart Sooner or later the absolute and complete control over all electronic devices by those operating gigantically expensive chip fabrication centres would start to exploit that monopoly. Much as those extracting and controlling rare and vital minerals used in devices.

Modern life is a tad precarious.

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Peet Tetteroo
Peet Tetteroo
@Pettet8@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 5 hours ago

@mttaggart

And you can wait for the impact when China invades Taiwan and 70% of the worldwide Microchips production falls in disarray..

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HTPC NZ
HTPC NZ
@htpcnz@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 5 hours ago

@mttaggart well there is always a majority of stupid people around to promote these and they are always the loudest, specially ones working in tech. But don't worry they will still tell you buy a insanely overpriced, criminally under speced mac book to access this billionaire bullshit.

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LoseFriendsandAlienatePeople
LoseFriendsandAlienatePeople
@LoseFriendsandAlienatePeople@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 7 hours ago

We need a company to emerge that will manufacture it. It needs to be a FOSS type, European company.

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Linza
Linza
@Linza@kamu.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 8 hours ago

@mttaggart sorry I'm in the wrong field of engineering. What's wrong with SSDs?

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Taggart
Taggart
@mttaggart@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 8 hours ago

@Linza SSDs were already short for roughly the same reasons DRAM was.

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Nyx
Nyx
@Isthmus@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 10 hours ago

@mttaggart
Toshiba still make decent drives.

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Taggart
Taggart
@mttaggart@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 10 hours ago

To clarify: I am saying this is what they want. Not that it is inevitable. But it's difficult to ignore the clear pattern of strategic decisions by these companies since the dawn of "services" until this benighted age.

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David Penfold :verified:
David Penfold :verified:
@davep@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 55 minutes ago

@mttaggart OpenAI apparently buying up 40% of RAM wafers and just hoarding them definitely points in this direction. It may be aimed at competitors, but a handy byproduct is yet more reliance on hyperscalers for the most basic of computing commodities.

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Klaus Frank
Klaus Frank
@agowa338@chaos.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 10 hours ago

@mttaggart

Nah, don't be that dystopian. It'll suck for sure, however they will still want to get rid of all of the old used ones on a regular basis...

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Taggart
Taggart
@mttaggart@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 10 hours ago

@agowa338 Do you know what happens to these disks after they're used the way they get used in a data center?

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Klaus Frank
Klaus Frank
@agowa338@chaos.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 10 hours ago

@mttaggart

It depends what they were used for. Some get trashed. But a surprisingly high amount gets sold off in bulk to companies that then repackage the pallets of down into smaller bundles of e.g. 100 pcs. Then it gets sold to another that repackages in e.g. 10 pcs and then often lands on ebay...

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Taggart
Taggart
@mttaggart@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 10 hours ago

@agowa338 The ones used for training workloads are not usable after 1-2 years max. Anything fronting hot storage will be in a similar situation. Sure, some may be resold, but if they already have a shorter lifespan, the supply issue remains.

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Klaus Frank
Klaus Frank
@agowa338@chaos.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 10 hours ago

@mttaggart

well as I said it for sure will suck in the short term. However it's not "as dystopian" as you said with being cut of from the means of computation.

Also don't forget to also keep an eye on China. As prices rise there will be more and more opportunities for new companies to enter the market (ones that don't have their factory processes optimised to keep faulty units per production cycle in check).

Same for GPUs the first "all china" GPUs they should be purchasable in a few months

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Sun Microdevil Pte Ltd
Sun Microdevil Pte Ltd
@koakuma@uwu.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 12 hours ago

@mttaggart I wonder what would happen if the costs get too high to bear and people ended up... opting out entirely from computing

I mean it's not like you need computers to be able to grow a couple trees for food right blobcatpeekaboo

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S★m V★rm★
S★m V★rm★
@samvarma@fosstodon.org replied  ·  activity timestamp 12 hours ago

@mttaggart @briankrebs If this is true then RIP Apple/Acer/Dell's business model

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nieuemma
nieuemma
@nieuemma@mastodon.de replied  ·  activity timestamp 12 hours ago

@mttaggart I very much wish I had purchased a 4TB NVME drive when they were 230 USD, now that the one I wanted is 700+.

I also wish I had ordered my laptop with 32GB, instead of 16GB DDR5, when it was an 80 USD upgrade, rather than now costing 300+.

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The Turtle
The Turtle
@the_turtle@mastodon.sdf.org replied  ·  activity timestamp 12 hours ago

@mttaggart whaddya suppose they're gonna do when all those drives get old in a few years? Dump them in the ocean? Nope, they will go in big crates and get wrapped in saran wrap and sold in lots of 1000, to guys in industrial suburbs who will uncrate and sell them for thirty bucks each.

"Not good enough for AI, but good enough for you!"

The moment Samsung or Hitachi start selling 10-petabyte drives,all those little terabyte SSDs will suddenly be worth fuckshit except to normal users.

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Sun Microdevil Pte Ltd
Sun Microdevil Pte Ltd
@koakuma@uwu.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 12 hours ago

@the_turtle @mttaggart It gets sent into the shredder in the name of privacy? blobcatpeekaboo

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TQoKFovvigI though this is a video by Google from 2013 and I dunno if they're still doing it now

Auf YouTube findest du die angesagtesten Videos und Tracks. Außerdem kannst du eigene Inhalte hochladen und mit Freunden oder gleich der ganzen Welt teilen.
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Taggart
Taggart
@mttaggart@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 11 hours ago

@koakuma @the_turtle Even if they wanted to resell, the cost of logistics for such an operation would outstrip profits.

Into the dump they'll go. We haven't even begun imagining the e-waste of this absurd misadventure.

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RuffLandings
RuffLandings
@RuffLandings@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 13 hours ago

@mttaggart I look forward to an upcoming glut of YouTube content discussing home tape library robots.

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❄️☃️Merry Jerry🎄🌲
❄️☃️Merry Jerry🎄🌲
@jerry@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 13 hours ago

@mttaggart cf express and dram prices are already skyrocketing. Hitting the photographers hard.

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lemgandi
lemgandi
@lemgandi@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 13 hours ago

@mttaggart

Do not attribute to malice that which can be explained by stupidity.

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Taggart
Taggart
@mttaggart@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 13 hours ago

@lemgandi This is actually malice! It's rapacious greed, the purest evil!

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lemgandi
lemgandi
@lemgandi@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 13 hours ago

@mttaggart Why not Both?

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Taggart
Taggart
@mttaggart@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 13 hours ago

@lemgandi Then what's the point you're trying to make?

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Chilly :donor: 🛡️ :fedora:
Chilly :donor: 🛡️ :fedora:
@chillybot@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 14 hours ago

@mttaggart
Wooo compute gouging 😑

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AI6YR Ben
AI6YR Ben
@ai6yr@m.ai6yr.org replied  ·  activity timestamp 14 hours ago

@mttaggart argggghhh

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Botolo
Botolo
@botolo86@mstdn.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 14 hours ago

@mttaggart I still have my Commodore 64. They will never trap me. 10 PRINT “C64 RULEZ” ; 20 GOTO 10 ; RUN #c64

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The Orange Theme
The Orange Theme
@theorangetheme@en.osm.town replied  ·  activity timestamp 14 hours ago

@mttaggart I am so sick of these fucks.

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Binary Large Octopus
Binary Large Octopus
@bloc@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 15 hours ago

@mttaggart I hope this will help break the mental cycle that mandates the necessity of having to buy new stuff regularly instead of using what's already there up to its actual lifetime. That way, this would in the long term hurt companies who's business model relies on creating artificial demand instead of providing actually necessary products and services.

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tschenkel
tschenkel
@tschenkel@mathstodon.xyz replied  ·  activity timestamp 15 hours ago

@mttaggart

I regret having delayed upgrading my old 4x2TB NAS array, because I didn't want to spend that much money on HDDs. Seems like everywhere is limited to 2 drives per account where I am.

May need to get a hotswap enclosure and pick out all my old 0.5TB drives for less frequently used stuff.

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Ra (Freya) (it/its)𒀭𒈹𒍠𒊩
Ra (Freya) (it/its)𒀭𒈹𒍠𒊩
@freya@chaosfem.tw replied  ·  activity timestamp 15 hours ago

@tschenkel @mttaggart I am suddenly very, very lucky to have 85TB of spinning rust

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Taggart
Taggart
@mttaggart@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 15 hours ago

@freya @tschenkel I gently submit you were already lucky to have all that!

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tschenkel
tschenkel
@tschenkel@mathstodon.xyz replied  ·  activity timestamp 14 hours ago

@mttaggart @freya

Indeed. I feel like we are the avantgarde with cobbled together IT. Feels like a Gibson novel, and unlike the tech-bros I did not read those scenarios as aspirational.

I just wanted to retire my beowulf cluster (12 old HP Z210 to 240 workstations and a few switches) because the gen7 i7s got a bit old in the tooth. But I may go and update that for a few more years and try to ride out the AI bubble.

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Ra (Freya) (it/its)𒀭𒈹𒍠𒊩
Ra (Freya) (it/its)𒀭𒈹𒍠𒊩
@freya@chaosfem.tw replied  ·  activity timestamp 15 hours ago

@mttaggart @tschenkel I mean yes, I misworded that, I meant I suddenly feel very lucky, not discounting the fact that I already was, I just hadn't internalised it

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tomcat :arch_linux:
tomcat :arch_linux:
@tomcat@mstdn.starnix.network replied  ·  activity timestamp 15 hours ago

@mttaggart

Phase 1: force AI adoption by removing other options to not use it

Phase 2: make computing unaffordable for the masses by buying up all stock of components, driving up demand while building datacenters.

Phase 3: further increase demand for and adoption of your cloud computing/AI datacenter by making people reliant on crappy cloud PCs/PCaaS devices with little horsepower to do much else

Phase 4: use telemetry/spyware in said datacenters to surveil/harvest data from every user of said cloud PCs and use it to serve hyper-targeted ads (everyone knows people love hyper-targeted ads) and send drone fleets to respond to/harass dissenters domestic terrorists

Phase 5: profit

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🌜Galactic Stone🌛
🌜Galactic Stone🌛
@galacticstone@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 15 hours ago

@mttaggart Suddenly all that retro "obsolete" hardware isn't so niche and worthless. I have a stack of old laptops to cannibalize - enough to last a Linux lifetime.

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James Tinmouth
James Tinmouth
@tinmouth@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 15 hours ago

@mttaggart found 3 spindles of dvd-r's the other day, I'm gonna get archiving 😂

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Taggart
Taggart
@mttaggart@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 15 hours ago

@tinmouth Finally my M-Disc writer makes sense

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James Tinmouth
James Tinmouth
@tinmouth@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 15 hours ago

@mttaggart had to go look that up! It's true none of my cd-rw's from the late 90s read anymore.

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