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Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf
Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf
@rahmstorf@fediscience.org  ·  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

Ocean waters are aging? What?
Yes: we oceanographers call 'age' the time since deep ocean water was last in touch with the atmosphere. It is a measure of 'ventilation', deep vertical overturning of the ocean.
Data show this process is slowing: #AMOC slowdown.
That is bad news for climate, and there is a serious risk of the AMOC crossing a tipping point in the next few decades towards an unstoppable shutdown. One of the worst-case climate change nightmares.
https://www.geomar.de/en/news/article/belueftung-des-nordatlantiks-nimmt-ab

Ventilation of the North Atlantic is Weakening

20 January 2026 / Kiel. The renewal of deep waters in the North Atlantic has slowed markedly over the past three decades. This is shown by a new study from the GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, now published in the scientific journal Nature Communications. The study demonstrates that the “age” of water masses in the North Atlantic has been increasing continuously since the 1990s – an indication of a weakening of the Atlantic circulation system. The results suggest that this trend cannot be explained by natural variability alone, but instead represents a signal of anthropogenic climate change. A slowdown in ocean circulation has far-reaching consequences for climate regulation as well as for the ocean’s oxygen supply and its uptake of carbon.
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Charlie Stross
Charlie Stross
@cstross@wandering.shop replied  ·  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

@rahmstorf @glynmoody I'm going to REALLY start worrying if Donald Trump and the other oil industry mouthpieces start trash-talking the whole idea of Canfield oceans.

Climate change tipping us over the edge until euxinic conditions prevail would be, uh, "bad" seems like an understatement. ("Mass extinction for all vertebrate and most multicellular life on Earth" sounds about right.)

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Glyn Moody
Glyn Moody
@glynmoody@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

@cstross @rahmstorf I would put anything past them at this stage...

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