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Molly White
Molly White
@molly0xfff@hachyderm.io  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

This is a scary trend. If crypto prices don’t rebound, DATCOs could be forced to sell their crypto, dragging the market down even further. Galaxy Digital researchers have compared the model, and its potential unwind, to the 1920s investment trust boom and bust.

#crypto #cryptocurrency #CitationNeededNewsletter

This is a scary trend, particularly for traders holding shares in firms that have relied on debt to accumulate their crypto hoards. If crypto prices fail to rally before that debt comes due, the firms could be forced to sell their crypto. Large forced sales, or forced sales across many DATCOs, can depress prices further, only exacerbating the problem. Researchers with Galaxy Digital have compared the potential “unwind” to the busting of the 1920s investment trust boom, writing:12

The 1920s investment trust boom followed a similar reflexive loop. Trusts traded at premiums to NAV, issued shares, and used the proceeds to buy more assets. When sentiment turned, those same mechanics amplified the downside. Collapsing premiums choked off access to capital while leverage magnified losses on falling assets. These cascading failures were an accelerant of the 1929 crash and subsequent Great Depression.
This is a scary trend, particularly for traders holding shares in firms that have relied on debt to accumulate their crypto hoards. If crypto prices fail to rally before that debt comes due, the firms could be forced to sell their crypto. Large forced sales, or forced sales across many DATCOs, can depress prices further, only exacerbating the problem. Researchers with Galaxy Digital have compared the potential “unwind” to the busting of the 1920s investment trust boom, writing:12 The 1920s investment trust boom followed a similar reflexive loop. Trusts traded at premiums to NAV, issued shares, and used the proceeds to buy more assets. When sentiment turned, those same mechanics amplified the downside. Collapsing premiums choked off access to capital while leverage magnified losses on falling assets. These cascading failures were an accelerant of the 1929 crash and subsequent Great Depression.
This is a scary trend, particularly for traders holding shares in firms that have relied on debt to accumulate their crypto hoards. If crypto prices fail to rally before that debt comes due, the firms could be forced to sell their crypto. Large forced sales, or forced sales across many DATCOs, can depress prices further, only exacerbating the problem. Researchers with Galaxy Digital have compared the potential “unwind” to the busting of the 1920s investment trust boom, writing:12 The 1920s investment trust boom followed a similar reflexive loop. Trusts traded at premiums to NAV, issued shares, and used the proceeds to buy more assets. When sentiment turned, those same mechanics amplified the downside. Collapsing premiums choked off access to capital while leverage magnified losses on falling assets. These cascading failures were an accelerant of the 1929 crash and subsequent Great Depression.
#citationneedednewsletter #cryptocurrency #crypto
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Wolfshund
Wolfshund
@Wolfshund@mastodon.social  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff @pluralistic Well if you put money in something with no intrinsic value..... Outside of moneylaundering, is there a use case for crypto?

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tom jennings
tom jennings
@tomjennings@tldr.nettime.org  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff

"Convertible debentures!" I learned that phrase as a child, watching THE THREE STOOGES, filmed in the 1920s and 1930s. Backed by the good faith of the company, and one of the lovely tools that led to the 1929 crash apparently. And well known enough to make cynical humor with.

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2qx
2qx
@2qx@mastodon.social  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff The root cause of this merry-go-round is that restrictions on what firms can do with their capital has lead them them into bucketter asset-classes where shares can never be redeemed for the underlying asset.

Any sustained departure of spot price and NAV is a tell-tale sign that there is no delivery, and sheep are being lead to the bucket shop floor.

The Martin Act of 1921 attempted to ban bucket shops without delivery, which lead to more layers, the roaring 20s and 1929.

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wortwart
wortwart
@wortwart@social.vivaldi.net  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff Of course, the 1920s were very different.

Back then, they were not so crazy to waste money on something that has no value at all.

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Wandering Star
Wandering Star
@pawsplay@dice.camp  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff It seems like we have yet to learn the lessons of Beanie Babies.

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Save Elderly Housing! Patty 👀
Save Elderly Housing! Patty 👀
@pattykimura@beige.party  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff If only the rest of us were insulated from the reckless greed of crypto...but, we're not, even as I own no crypto.
I am old enough to have had parents who were adults in 1929. They owned no stocks but paid the price, nonetheless.
The only silver lining was that the crash made my dad, and millions like him, a lifelong New Deal Democrat.

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Jarjan
Jarjan
@jarjan@mederland.nl  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff
So the criminals, money launderers, and scammers will go out of business? How terrible...
(OK, I do understand many regular people have invested in crypto, and they will lose out too. That's not great, but for the rest.. )

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Marcus Müller
Marcus Müller
@funkylab@mastodon.social  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff ohhh DATCO: that's a term I would have needed lately, when I expressed concerns that a company that produces chips I actually was interested in using considered it more important to announce they're now accumulating bitcoin rather than to inform about new chipsets. https://sequans.com/sequans-announces-384m-strategic-investment-to-launch-bitcoin-treasury-initiative/

Sequans

Sequans Announces $384M Strategic Investment to Launch Bitcoin Treasury Initiative - Sequans

Paris – June 23, 2025 – Sequans Communications S.A. (NYSE: SQNS) (“Sequans” or the “Company”), a leading developer and provider of 5G/4G IoT semiconductors and modules, today announced it is establishing a bitcoin treasury initiative, marking a strategic expansion alongside its core semiconductor cellular IoT business. To implement this initiative, the Company has agreed to […]
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Marcus Müller
Marcus Müller
@funkylab@mastodon.social  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff which is doubly interesting, because Sequans repeatedly got NYSE delisting warnings due to low capitalizations paired with low equity-after-debts.

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Dan Sugalski
Dan Sugalski
@wordshaper@weatherishappening.network  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff Turns out that while sometimes Number Goes Up... sometimes Number Goes Down too. Hopefully the damage will be relatively confined though given how opaque (or at least obscured) a lot of crypto is it's hard to say for sure.

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Viss
Viss
@Viss@mastodon.social  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff it gets even more fun - there are companies like yieldmax, who run an ETF like MSTY, which more or less directly tracks MSTR. the purpose of MSTY is to print dividends every month, but its been tanking, and moved to printing divs once a week. and its aging like the cryptkeeper. its chart is a red ski slope right now

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Peter Bindels
Peter Bindels
@dascandy@infosec.exchange  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff The best way to learn about these was IMO to play Railroad Tycoon 2. The first part of the game is to build a railroad - the second is to invest in your competitors and to take them over. To do the latter it was very tempting to maximally use your leverage to buy as much of their stock as you could, re-maximizing when you got the chance.

That did mean that if they ever dropped slightly, you'd be getting a margin call from the bank, which resulted in forced selloffs. Which themselves cause the stock to drop a bit, making you further behind and getting another margin call .. until you have nothing left except for a debt.

I hope these companies are smarter with investing in real life than I was as a 16-year old gamer in a low-stakes game.

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Simon B
Simon B
@foobarry@mastodon.social  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff

Your browser does not support the video tag.
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ph dea how sad, never mind
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Molly White
Molly White
@molly0xfff@hachyderm.io  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

There’s no institutional backing behind Citation Needed — it exists because readers like you choose to support it. If you value this coverage, consider signing up for a free or pay-what-you-want subscription.

https://www.citationneeded.news/signup/

Citation Needed

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2qx
2qx
@2qx@mastodon.social  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff

In June of 2022, as part of a technology demo, I established a monthly perpetuity for the Electronic Frontier Foundation using their old Bitcoin address.

That contract is here: https://bitinfocharts.com/bitcoin%20cash/address/3N19pssAeGohPSSPqGp4CEr9sN1TchURGz

I noticed you donated some SOL to them. I'm wondering why they can't seem to list a Bitcoin Cash donation address, even though they clearly accept BCH.

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2qx
2qx
@2qx@mastodon.social  ·  activity timestamp 4 months ago

@molly0xfff

In June of 2022, as part of a technology demo, I established a monthly perpetuity for the Electronic Frontier Foundation using their old Bitcoin address.

That contract is here: https://bitinfocharts.com/bitcoin%20cash/address/3N19pssAeGohPSSPqGp4CEr9sN1TchURGz

I noticed you donated some SOL to them. I'm wondering why they can't seem to list a Bitcoin Cash donation address, even though they clearly accept BCH.

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