#CDC's most dataset, updated Friday, shows tightly-knit Stratus XFG family dominating, with Nimbus NB.1.8.1 / PQ in second place, down to one-fourteenth share, this nearly neck-in-neck with FDA Vaccine Target LP.8.1 (or its family line) at one-seventeenth share.
Note that, in absence of robust data from states, CDC has given up modeling historical estimates, instead giving only shares of reported sequences.
Raj's dashboard, last updated over two weeks ago, shows Stratus XFG pulling ahead in competition with its two children, even as XFG.3 has spawned a child of its own.
GISAID data for the most recent four week period is dominated by submissions from Colorado (514 sequences), followed by California (485), Utah (160), and New York (146).
❖ #ThisIsOurPolio #variants #CovidIsNotOver #dataviz #datavis
![Chart: Estimated and Reported U.S. Variant Proportions by Common Name
Sources: CDC, Cov-Lineages, NYITCOM, D. Focosi, WHN, others
[ beadsland on Ko-fi ]
Reskin of CDC's Variants Nowcast, and any significant variants in GISAID not broken out by CDC.
Four bar-style tree-charts, for four-week periods through Aug 31–Sep 27. Legend of last four-week period, organized by subheadings of color-grouped families and convergent clusters. Percentages overlay each color key, reflecting share as of most recent tree-chart.
Mostly WHO-Vaccine-Target JN.1 dynasty. Stratus XFG family accounts for largely share.
For 8/3–8/30, packed bubble charts fill single-variant tiles, indicating diversification (per GISAID) not apparent from CDC's Nowcast.
Legend:
LF.7 + NTD-meets-RBD [red]:
85% - XFG.3†, XFG.2† & other Stratus XFG
JN.1.11 [browns]:
0% - KP.3
0% - KP.1.1.3 / LP, PA.1 & MC.10.1
6% - NW.1 & other FDA-Vaccine-Target LP.8.1
JN.1 + FLiRT-LF-7 [blues]:
⅖% - LF.7.9, LF.7.7.1 / PV & LF.7.2.1 / PC
⅗% - other LF.7
LF.7 + NTD-meets-RBD [purples]:
⅗% - XFC
0% - other LF.7 + NTD-meets-RBD
JN.1 [greens]:
¼% - JN.1.16.1 / LF
0% - XEC & XEC.4
Other [greys]:
7% - Nimbus NB.1.8.1 / PQ, PQ.2†, XDV.1 & other Omicron-2 BA.2
⅒% - Omicron B.1.1.529 / BA & Other (not specified)
_____
Omicron-2 BA.2 is a child of 2022 Omicron B.1.1.529.
Stratus XFG is a child of April's WHO-Vaccine-Target scion LF.7 and Juneish JN.1.11 scion LP.8.1.2 / NW.
[Some footnotes omitted, due to too many recombinants.]](https://spaces.hcommons.social/media_attachments/files/115/295/547/437/473/101/original/d7a4f6be45095a38.jpg)