Raj's dashboard, updated yesterday, shows Stratus wildly diversified, having spawned multiple third-generation pango aliases and descendant recombinants. This after months of data suggesting XFG evolution had been stagnant.
GISAID data for the most recent three-week-and-change period is dominated by submissions from New York (178 sequences), followed by Colorado (137), Oregon (77), Nebraska (58), and Minnesota (39).
#CDC's most dataset, updated September 26, showed Stratus XFG family dominating, with Nimbus NB.1.8.1 / PQ in second place, down to one-fourteenth share, this nearly neck-in-neck with FDA Vaccine Target LP.8.1 (or its family line) at one-seventeenth share.
Note that, in absence of robust data from states, CDC has given up modeling historical estimates, instead giving only shares of reported sequences.
❖ #ThisIsOurPolio #variants #CovidIsNotOver #dataviz #datavis
![Chart: Est. & Reported U.S. Variant Proportions by Common Name
Sources: CDC, Cov-Lineages, NYITCOM, others
[ beadsland on Ko-fi ]
Reskin of CDC's Variants Nowcast, and any significant variants in GISAID not broken out by CDC.
Four bar-style tree-charts, for four-week periods through 8/31–9/27. Legend of last four-week period, organized by subheadings of color-grouped families and convergent clusters. Percentages overlay each color key, reflecting share as of most recent tree-chart.
Mostly WHO-Vaccine-Target JN.1 dynasty. Stratus XFG family accounts for largely share.
For 8/31–9/27, packed bubble charts fill single-variant tiles, reflecting GISAID detail not shown by CDC's Nowcast.
Legend:
LF.7 + NTD-meets-RBD [red]:
85% - XFG.2†, XFG.3†, XFG.4.1†, XFG.3.4.1 / QF†, XFG.5.1†, XFG.14.1†, XFG.5.2†, XFG.8†, XFG.3.15† & other Stratus XFG
JN.1.11 [browns]:
0% - KP.3
0% - KP.1.1.3 / LP, PA.1 & MC.10.1
6% - NW.1 & other FDA-Vaccine-Target LP.8.1
JN.1 + FLiRT-LF-7 [blues]:
⅖% - LF.7.9, LF.7.7.1 / PV & LF.7.2.1 / PC
⅗% - other LF.7
LF.7 + NTD-meets-RBD [purple]:
⅗% - XFC
JN.1 [greens]:
¼% - JN.1.16.1 / LF
0% - XEC & XEC.4
Other [greys]:
7% - Nimbus NB.1.8.1 / PQ, XDV.1 & other Omicron-2 BA.2
⅒% - Omicron B.1.1.529 / BA & Other (not specified)
_____
Omicron-2 BA.2 is a child of 2022 Omicron B.1.1.529.
Stratus XFG is a child of April's WHO-Vaccine-Target scion LF.7 and Juneish JN.1.11 scion LP.8.1.2 / NW.
[Some footnotes omitted, due to too many recombinants.]](https://spaces.hcommons.social/media_attachments/files/115/341/879/876/683/538/original/a913de87b5db0e87.jpg)
code. I currently work part time at