Raj's dashboard, updated yesterday, shows Stratus XFG pulling ahead in competition with its two children, even as XFG.3 has spawned a child of its own.
GISAID data for the most recent four week period is dominated by submissions from Colorado (327 sequences), followed by California (297), Utah (160), and New York (129).
#CDC's most recent Tuesday dataset, updated end of August, shows tightly-knit Stratus XFG family dominating, with Nimbus NB.1.8.1 / PQ in second place at around one-seventh share.
Note that, in absence of robust data from states, CDC has given up modeling historical estimates, instead giving only shares of reported sequences.
❖ #ThisIsOurPolio #variants #CovidIsNotOver #dataviz #datavis
![Chart: Est. & Reported U.S. Variant Proportions by Common Name
Sources: CDC, Cov-Lineages, NYITCOM, others
[ beadsland on Ko-fi ]
Reskin of CDC's Variants Nowcast, and any significant variants in GISAID not broken out by CDC.
Four bar-style tree-charts, for four-week periods through 8/3–8/30. Legend of last four-week period, organized by subheadings of color-grouped families and convergent clusters. Percentages overlay each color key, reflecting share as of most recent tree-chart.
Stratus XFG family accounts for over three quarters share.
For 8/3–8/30, packed bubble charts fill single-variant tiles, reflecting GISAID detail not shown by CDC's Nowcast.
Legend:
LF.7 + NTD-meets-RBD [red]:
78% - XFG.3†, XFG.2† & other Stratus XFG
Omicron-2 BA.2 [brown]:
14% - XDV.1, PQ.2† & other Nimbus NB.1.8.1 / PQ
JN.1 [greens]:
5% - FDA-Vaccine-Target LP.8.1, NW.1, PA.1 & MC.28.1
⅕% - XEC
0% - KP.3, XEK & other WHO-Vaccine-Target JN.1
JN.1 + FLiRT-LF-7 [blues]:
⅖% - LF.7.9 & LF.7.2.1 / PC
1% - other LF.7
LF.7 + NTD-meets-RBD [purples]:
½% - XFC
0% - other LF.7 + NTD-meets-RBD
Other [greys]:
0% - other Omicron-2 BA.2
⅒% - Other (not specified)
_____
Omicron-2 BA.2 is a child of 2022 Omicron B.1.1.529.
Stratus XFG is a child of April's WHO-Vaccine-Target scion LF.7 and Juneish WHO-Vaccine-Target scion LP.8.1.2 / NW.
WHO-Vaccine-Target JN.1 is a grandchild of Winter 2023–24's Pirola BA.2.86.
[Some footnotes omitted, due to too many recombinants.]](https://spaces.hcommons.social/media_attachments/files/115/178/228/659/278/296/original/114b67a7475872ed.jpg)