With about 16000 deaths, this year's heatwaves were the deadliest natural disaster in Germany for at least the last 100 years (https://www.sueddeutsche.de/projekte/artikel/wissen/sommerbilanz-2026-hitze-tropennaechte-klima-deutschland-europa-e337370/). The left plot below shows estimates and 95% confidence intervals of heat-associated fatalities per year for Germany published by the Robert Koch Institute (https://www.rki.de/DE/Themen/Gesundheit-und-Gesellschaft/Gesundheitliche-Einflussfaktoren-A-Z/H/Hitze/Bericht_Hitzemortalitaet.html). On the right I have plotted rolling 5-year averages of the numbers on the left together with a linear trend. While there is still a lot of variation, the trend is clearly upwards. We started the fire, and now it comes for us.
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