how on earth does openssh not only have incredibly fucked versioning but is the only package i've ever seen to mention a "privilege separation" chroot path which actively breaks non-root builds. are you fucking kidding me bruh. "privilege separation chroot" defaulting to /var/empty and it immediately errors if it can't create it????? why are your version strings like that bruh?????
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@aeva the gambler's fallacy is no joke btw. it gets me CONSTANTLY. and i mean like misleads me numerically not like morally. i simply cannot move like that intuitively. i think it's why i'm bad at chess. (and pokemon :((((((
@aeva oh fun fact pascal's wager was a hoax perpetrated by his brother in law who was into this bizarre jesuit cult and claimed to have discovered a posthumous religious bent. he didn't actually know what mathematicians wrote about, and the stanford encyclopedia of philosophy describes checking four references that had been claimed as the source of the famous "wager", all not fucking there.
@aeva this fucking guy fabricated (backdated) a letter exchange between fermat and pascal on "the foundations of probability theory".
both were number theorists--actually much closer to mad scientists performing laboratory experiments on god, whom they have forcibly detained against His will.
@aeva that is literally a guy named after the christian religion, btw. and he's not a very good liar:
Huygens first identified the correct laws of elastic collision in his work De Motu Corporum ex Percussione, completed in 1656 but published posthumously in 1703.
sure buddy. and david hilbert discovered the einstein field equations but didn't tell anyone who would listen until after einstein had published.
@aeva
he knew this shit would pop off to "philosophy" guys https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blaise_Pascal#Probability
The specific problem was that of two players who want to finish a game early and, given the current circumstances of the game, want to divide the stakes fairly, based on the chance each has of winning the game from that point. The notion of expected value evolved from this discussion.
"fairness" is not probability theory my dude
@aeva the point is, LLM guys are all like this. first problem set freshman year uchicago and they're sweating cause they've never had to actually read the assigned text to answer a question before. they're all nervous like "a uniform distribution..........is fair" just like daddy von neumann told them. and they felt real pride when they got a gold star on that response
@aeva so the ones who (bernoulli's law of large numbers, that's a real one) achieve a sufficient string of successes to have convinced others that, of course, this was ordained by their ability to divine the future, are consequently blessed with further success, because financial markets are confidence games
@aeva so now guys like masayoshi son have not only sufficient capital but a sufficient reputation pipeline that nothing they do has any effect upon their financial success whatsoever. and these guys think they're pretty fucking shrewd.
they have long since detached from the capacity for emotional investment. they can't explain anything that happens in the world around them. they know what to do: uniform distribution is fair. so they don't play fair. it's so easy to imagine justice and fairness as a weakness.
@aeva so we hit the 90s and computers have completely revolutionized the financial industry. why? because you can make decisions so much faster! and that means more decisions, which means more money.
the internet is sometimes slow? sometimes down? netscape to the rescue! the internet is an application platform! the application is on the internet! what do you mean down? i'm on the internet right now!
@hipsterelectron ok so this is fascinating but why is SIMD evil?
@aeva it's not! it's Good Actually! in fact, i should have inferred this from it being an x86 standard alone, which is very difficult to radically modify
@aeva i had a completely backwards perception of how to evaluate the way hardware designers make decisions
@hipsterelectron aaah ok my bad 😎
tell me more about the chess / pokemon gamblers fallacy thing, I'm not sure I followed what you meant by that earlier
@aeva well, two things:
- i specifically find that speaking the magic words "gambler's fallacy!" will often be sufficient to help me identify not merely assumptions made about an input distribution, but also subtle false inferences regarding a corresponding response in the output
