I calculated an average of 1 collision avoidance maneuver every 75 seconds in the Starlink megaconstellation based on the numbers they gave in their last conjuction report. But sure, launch more Starlinks.
@sundogplanets
One of the famous dead commies -- I forget which one -- said that a capitalist is someone who'll sell you a rope to hang him with.
Modern corporations will sell you dangerous and expensive crap that will make the planet uninhabitable for humans, if there's shareholder value in doing so.
#EndStageCapitalism #SpaceX
@sundogplanets
What’s the betting that they solve this by reducing the approach distance deemed to require an avoidance manoeuvre?
@sundogplanets Personally, I find #Starlink to be #wasteful and only effective at sabotaging #FTTH buildouts in #rural areas.
- Just like #Hyperloop was only pushed by #ElonMusk to #sabotage #CaliforniaHighSpeedRail!
There's a reason why #Iridium is the only "successful" truly global constellation and even that only works due to #Buyouts by the #US #Government.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6r9tAbaiXSg
https://www.iridium.com/products/iridium-9575a-us-government
https://www.iridium.com/services/netted-iridium
https://www.iridium.com/services/iridium-managed-access-dnx
What's the exchange rate for satellites to goats?
@sundogplanets bye stars, it was nice looking at you ☹️
@sundogplanets Would it be worse if there were, say, a million larger satellites?
@sundogplanets Yeah, this seems like a case where the 'Law of Large Numbers' is going to become a problem....
"The avoidance maneuvers reduce the probability of a collision to about one in a million, which is so small that it's negligible," Lewis said. "The problem is that if you make a million maneuvers and you have a residual probability of one in a million, you end up with an aggregate risk across your entire constellation that you can't get rid of."
The article goes on to say "SpaceX will have made a million avoidance maneuvers over the lifetime of the Starlink constellation as early as June 2027"
@sundogplanets there is a quote attributed to a microsoft exec going "in our line of work, one in a million is next tuesday"
@sundogplanets@mastodon.socialaybe maybe they are working on Kessler Syndrome so they can later shelf the 'Mars mission'