Post

@urlyman you write:
"Out of all the UK people on Mastodon who:

- have been active in the past week
- and happened to spend time here while the poll below flowed through their timeline
- and clocked it
- and thought to vote in it"

I think your sample space may be relatively small. I don't see all posts by UK based members of the #Fediverse, not I expect do you, it is limited to who follows us (in your case 1800) and whether the post was then boosted by them (OK you did ask for boosts) and then by their followers in turn. You are relying on Snowball sampling.
It might have helped to encourage those in the UK who saw the post and have never voted Green to actually poll the negative, so at least you would know what proportion, of those reached, are sometime green voters but the total would still be limited by your reach.
And of course voting Green if you would otherwise have wanted to in a more PR system may be limited by the need to vote tactically to keep out Tories and now Reform and to whether there are Green candidates you would otherwise support who have a chance of getting elected.

…The companion to the poll above which invited people to register that they’ve thought about voting Green but never have, has gained 19 such admissions:
https://mastodon.social/@urlyman/116572326808302228

You can draw your own conclusions. You can choose what factor to multiply the numbers by, in order to account for all the people who would have voted ‘Yes’ who didn’t see it or saw it but didn’t act on it.

What I take away is… no wonder the Green representatives of England and Wales are mostly not here

#climateDiary