@Niquarl @ermo
Perhaps it's language barrier, but you all are arguing against points that I'm not even making? 🤷🏿♂️
I said what I said, de-coupling won't prevent an invasion of the EU. De-coupling will help fight a war if one starts, but it won't prevent one. Either way, reducing EU dependence on US weapons is already happening.
😕Ukraine is a weapons factory, again:
https://bsky.app/profile/mekka.mekka-tech.com/post/3mi7mper2fk2a
The bad news is that EU rearmament will probably cause a war within Europe in the next 25 years. This rearmament is like a Wild West Saloon going from "No one has a gun," to "Everyone has two guns!🤡" Someone is going to get shot. (Probability of some EU country electing a violent, expansionary fascist) x (countries in Europe) x (25 years). I don't like those odds.
Too high an opinion of US military... No. The US military is the most lethal in the world. But that doesn't mean that US can defeat everyone unilaterally, without a coalition. And most importantly, lethality doesn't mean winning wars. That's what Trump doesn't understand. I made calls that people thought were wrong at the time. Within days of the Ukraine war starting, I called that Russia would not topple and hold Ukraine, for the exact same reasons that the US could not topple and hold Afghanistan or Vietnam, and would not topple and hold Canada.
Ukraine, Afghanistan, Vietnam, and Canada, are all countries with populations ~40M, that know how to fight asymmetric war, using their terrain to horrifying advantage. Of all of those countries, Canada is by far the most lethal, most highly trained, most well resourced, and most able to inflict retaliatory damage on the US. Invading Canada would be similar combined casualties to the US Civil War, which for the US, exceeded WW1 and WW2 casualties. Seriously. My concern is not that the US could invade and conquer Canada easily. It can't. My concern is that the US would be foolish enough to try.
The US military is close to as *lethal* as it was 5 years ago, but is much less *effective*. It's like we were the toughest guy in the prison while also being the leader of the largest prison gang. Terrifying! But... we've insulted and attacked all of our fellow gang members, and now we have no friends. Now we're just one big tattooed guy.🤷🏿♂️