Peter Kellner:
“Behind the tally of Reform’s gains … Nigel Farage should be privately worried. In last year’s local elections Reform won 41% of all seats contested across England. On the basis of the overnight figures, this year’s tally is around 33%. If there were no polls, and there had been no elections last year, this year’s figure would be astonishing. But we do have the record of recent polls and elections, and it seems clear that Reform has peaked”
https://kellnerp.substack.com/p/yesterdays-elections-the-story-so
