With LLM platform subsidies ending and the reality of adoption over time becoming clear, I really hope we can get to the point where we figure out the actual subset of software engineering tasks this stuff can usefully automate.. The window for employers pretending it replaces developers is closing imo, it was always a smokescreen but it's going to become an existential business threat to all but the biggest, and even then..
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@sue I think you’re right. My prediction has been that when the bubble bursts, some company that is so big we didn’t think they could possibly fail, will in fact fail. I don’t mean one of the AI companies. I mean something like oracle, ibm, adobe, etc. Some company that we don’t realise is so perilously out over their skis that when AI prices jump, they’ll be wiped out: Unable to deliver their core business, hire to replace lost talent, nor pay the AI bills any longer. I’m not guessing which one. I’m not that smart. But I think there’s gonna be a Lehman Brothers of the AI bubble, and then all hell breaks loose.
I suspect they believed so profoundly in its capacity to replace people they thought that would be case closed before the pricing rug pull had to happen. They were incorrect!
