For my sins in a past life, it has become my job to help prepare offers of hardware updates to our customers.
This past weekend, prices for HP servers and most components increased by 40% to 70% for most components at our usual supplier. Oh, and 16 GB RAM now costs 7.5 times as much as it did a year ago.
@juergen_hubert cries in "can't even consider upgrading or replacing if our current rigs suddenly fail for any reason"
@juergen_hubert
One day, this bubble is going to burst.
@juergen_hubert Do you honestly believe that this is just because of "addictive properties" of AI?
Nope. I think it's mostly a massive scam.
@juergen_hubert And you are among the few enlightened who don't fall for it. Got it.
Any way to falsify that hypothesis?
The number of people who think the same isn't _that_ low.
And falsifying this is easy: These systems must provide practical benefits that deliver what they promise over the course of several years.
"Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence."
@juergen_hubert Several years? How many? At the speed this field is developing, you'll be overrun before you notice it with that approach.
Better test: Just take some old human-made, bad code and let an AI debug it. Let the AI write something complicated and test if it works (it won't right away, just with any human programmer), then let it debug it until it works.
The AI industry has _consistently_ overpromised and underdelivered. If they want to earn that trust back, they need to first deliver during actual practice over an extended period. And they need to convince software developers who have build up extensive process knowledge about their products. If _they_ tell me that all this is more than hype, _then_ I will believe it.
@juergen_hubert I am not at all against testing with a healthy dose of scepticism. But testing one should.
And I will leave that to people who have the relevant expertise.
@juergen_hubert But not all of them, apparently. ;)
I don't know. Have you been part of a software development team consisting of dozens of people for the last seven years?
@juergen_hubert
Very sad.
A mix of real ordering for AI and vendor exploitation of perception?
I remember once RAM was stolen from an entire classroom of PCs. The replacement of x2 per PC was cheaper than original build 😀
Mad prices now for East German male sheep.
My last purchase was a second hand Dell Optiplex 7050 (5 year warranty) from local CEX. Only 256G SSD, but 16 G RAM. €130. I added a 4 T 3.25" HDD for the user Data. Linux Mint with Mate Desktop
New stuff apart from screens is mad.
