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Doug Belshaw
Doug Belshaw
@dajb@social.coop  ·  activity timestamp 3 days ago

A lot of advice these days still assumes crises are isolated events.

But in a polycrisis the overall impact of these events exceeds the sum of each part.

Our old, linear mental models do not cope well with feedback loops, time delays, and structural risk.

In this post, I talk about epistemic humility, three bias-aware habits to cultivate, and why mental models sit at the root of systems change.

https://blog.dougbelshaw.com/mental-models-polycrisis/

#polycrisis #mentalmodels #systemsthinking #complexsystems #climate #ai

Open Thinkering

How to be less wrong in a polycrisis

The world is a confusing place. Although the temptation is to seek certainty, the best approach is to become a little less certain, a little more curious, and a lot more willing to revise our judgements.
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