Discussion
Loading...

Post

Log in
  • About
  • Code of conduct
  • Privacy
  • Users
  • Instances
  • About Bonfire
Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf
Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf
@rahmstorf@fediscience.org  路  activity timestamp 4 weeks ago

Some consider the lack of weakening of the currents between Atlantic and Nordic Seas an argument against an ongoing #AMOC weakening.
Here we show why the opposite is true: AMOC weakening causes a temporary increase in Nordic Seas overturning. 馃寠
https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-6172/

Nordic Overturning Increases as AMOC Weakens in Response to Global Warming

Abstract. The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is weakening in response to global warming, while Nordic Seas Overturning Circulation (NOC) is projected to increase. So far, no causal link has been proposed between these two opposing trends. Here we propose that a density reduction in the subpolar North Atlantic will weaken the AMOC by reducing the density difference with lighter waters further south, while at the same time strengthening the NOC by increasing the density difference with the heavier waters further north. Using high resolution climate model data and a box model, we find that in response to combined global warming and freshwater input the NOC initially increases moderately as the AMOC weakens, while a tipping point may be reached later if deep convection in the Nordic Seas shuts down and the NOC collapses together with the AMOC.
  • Copy link
  • Flag this post
  • Block

bonfire.cafe

A space for Bonfire maintainers and contributors to communicate

bonfire.cafe: About 路 Code of conduct 路 Privacy 路 Users 路 Instances
Bonfire social 路 1.0.1-beta.35 no JS en
Automatic federation enabled
Log in
  • Explore
  • About
  • Members
  • Code of Conduct