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AI6YR Ben
AI6YR Ben
@ai6yr@m.ai6yr.org  ·  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

This week's space launch schedule:

PLANNED LAUNCH/REENTRY:
SPACEX STARTLINK 6-90, CAPE CANAVERAL SFS, FL
PRIMARY: 12/11/25 1859Z-2342Z
BACKUP: 12/12/25 1833Z-2316Z

SPACEX STARLINK 15-12, VANDENBERG SFB, CA
PRIMARY: 12/14/25 0520Z-1002Z
BACKUP: 12/16/25 0452Z-0934Z

SPACEX STARLINK 6-82, CAPE CANAVERAL SFS, FL
PRIMARY: 12/15/25 0243Z-0726Z
BACKUP: 12/16/25 0217Z-0700Z

ULA KA-04, CAPE CANAVERAL SFS, FL
PRIMARY: 12/15/25 0835Z-1204Z
BACKUP: 12/16/25 0813Z-1142Z

SPACEX STARLINK 6-99, KENNEDY SPACE CENTER, FL
PRIMARY: 12/15/25 1311Z-1754Z
BACKUP: 12/16/25 1245Z-1728Z

#rockets #space

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Carsten Franke
Carsten Franke
@carstenfranke@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

@ai6yr What goes up must come down...

https://www.mprnews.org/story/2025/12/11/space-debris-falls-over-northern-minnesota-upper-penninsula

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Prof. Sam Lawler
Prof. Sam Lawler
@sundogplanets@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

@ai6yr 😭 😭 😭 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.09643

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.09643
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Edelruth In The Wrong Timeline
Edelruth In The Wrong Timeline
@Edelruth@mastodon.online replied  ·  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

@sundogplanets @ai6yr

I was puzzled by the tears. Published, peer review paper, whoot! And then I saw it was a reply to Ben's and then I looked at Ben's, and I still like Mastodon, existential warnings notwithstanding 🥴😎

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AI6YR Ben
AI6YR Ben
@ai6yr@m.ai6yr.org replied  ·  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

@sundogplanets Oh wow, three day solar storm, we win Kessler bingo?!?!

"Here we propose a new metric, the CRASH Clock, that measures such stress in terms of the time it takes for a catastrophic collision to occur if there are no collision avoidance manoeuvres or there is a severe loss in situational awareness.

Our calculations show the CRASH Clock is currently 2.8 days, which suggests there is now little time to recover from a wide-spread disruptive event, such as a solar storm. This is in stark contrast to the pre-megaconstellation era: in 2018, the CRASH Clock was 121 days."

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