…Here’s the bit from 17 months ago where I heard Tim Garrett, Professor of Atmospheric Physics at The University of Utah, talk about power laws and the energy in systems.
Some transcription excerpts follow.
(from 1:04:44) https://youtu.be/M01Q3ZR-Mzs?t=3884
…Tim Garrett begins by prefacing with:
“We’ll always have this power law. But it raises an interesting question. We can start thinking about trying to make predictions. I mean, as a scientist, you know, scientists make predictions. Most of the time, of course, they’re totally wrong. But, you know, we try to make predictions.”
Before going on to say…
@urlyman “I’m a scientist, I know what constitutes evidence. Wonko was my mother’s pet name for me, so now I call myself Wonko the Sane. To reassure people.”
@siblingpastry it’s a rich tapestry, this infinite improbability drive of a species we are :)
…“If we are looking at a crisis, a world in which we collectively become somewhat more impoverished – one where either we can’t access the energy that makes us rich because climate change is making it harder,
or because we can’t access the energy that makes us rich because it’s just not there as much as it used to be, because we’ve depleted the reserves –
in that world where things are in a phase of decline or perhaps even collapse, does the world become socially more egalitarian?…
…“If it was the wealth that made us less egalitarian in the first place, on the flip side, do we become more egalitarian as we become poorer?
And I’m not sure because I think the phase of growth is different than the phase of decline.
I’m sure there are plenty of people who could address this question more competently than I am. But I think it’s a valuable question, a valid question to look at…
…“I think also you could ask the question of things like renewables. Well, we could say renewables are wonderful for perhaps for saving us from climate change … but they are also new sources of energy.
And if energy is plausibly tied to inequality, because you can’t have inequality without there being a large amount of energy to go around, then are our new sources of energy, like renewables, really just pushing us further apart?…
@urlyman I think the hope is that chaos will breed anarchy. But it never does, it just breeds militarism.
…Rachel (host) in reply: “I mean, at the moment, they are, right? I think renewables are, you know, sort of 2%* of global energy production added on top of an increasing production and consumption of fossil fuels. The more we have access to, the more that we use.”
[*see replies below re 2%]
Tim: “The thing is, is that I think there are many analogs. Like I can think of many analogs in the atmosphere…
…“Low energy cloud for me is a fog. And in a fog, almost all the droplets are about the same size.
A high energy cloud is a cumulonimbus. And in a cumulonimbus cloud, almost everything’s possible. I mean, everything from tiny droplets to massive hailstones. And the inequality is highest in the highest energy clouds.”
