I perceive 3 fediverses..

fediverse-we-have: Has proven it works, and has delightful #apps to show for it.

fediverse-we-need: The future of #SocialNetworking, where it pervasively serves #people and #society at large.

#fediverse-we-get: Still unknown.

Imho the trajectory of #development of the fediverse-we-have does not lead to fediverse-we-need.

Fediverse-we-get on this path is either a nice #SocialMedia niche for a time, or eventual corporate capture and takeover. A corporate #SocialWeb.