As many others have pointed out, one way to think about what’s been happening to tech—software, especially—is that the entire industry is being “Boeinged” (or Jack Welched). And, as with an airplane, a faulty part can sit in a system for a decade before it snaps and brings the whole thing down
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So, much like how a weak and faulty Boeing part from 2019 is much likelier to bring a ten-year-old plane down 2029 than a new plane in 2020 (don’t fly Boeing) the consequences of our current era of slop programming will take years to pan out and the odds of a major downside escalates over time
It takes time for the slop, bit rot, platform changes, and a decline in the OSS infrastructure to percolate into a real catastrophe. The stuff we’re seeing fail now is the software equivalent of forgetting to bolt an airplane door plug. The stuff that should worry us is the software equivalent of a fractured, but holding, bolt