Which is closest to your view?
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@ZachWeinersmith I find the GenAI LLMs to be an interesting new capability which the giant pools of money are way over investing in, in a typical 21st c "wrecking of otherwise good things via too much money" cf dot com, house lending, toys r us, etc. 30B spend on it seems reasonable. Borrowing enough money to put up a 30B data center in 10 percent of counties seems like a misapplication of scarce resources. 1/2
@ZachWeinersmith A2, with the qualifier that is probably say "for some kinds of tasks" rather than "in some domains." But maybe the definition of "domain" can cover that.
@ZachWeinersmith I think the main problem here is nomenclature: AI is a marketing term that confuses useful and well established things such as neutral networks with wasteful and ethically horrible things such as the so call genAI, aka the "robbery+exploration+pollution machine". GenAI is definitively A1, the rest... it depends.
@ZachWeinersmith Somewhere between A1 and A2, depending on what is meant by "AI".
@ZachWeinersmith For LLMs A1. The only thing they’re really good at is spam and they’re not even very good at that. As for coding, the supposed LLM silver bullet… A tool that is wrong 30-40% of the time in subtle ways that only an expert can discern is not a useful tool. I just hope the VCs run out of money before we lose an entire generation of engineering pipeline.
@ZachWeinersmith A2 leaning to A1, I can’t wait for the bubble to burst.
@ZachWeinersmith C2. AI is the more useful superset of LLMs. If it wasn't LLMs being leveraged by bunker billionaires it would be something else.
@ZachWeinersmith
The Tech: C3
The misanthropes running the businesses: A1
@ZachWeinersmith Am I the lonely C2?
@ZachWeinersmith A2, for sure.
Surprised you didn't use the poll feature?
@ZachWeinersmith A2 if I feel generous, but A1 would be my first reaction to "new" AI stuff and stay that way, unless proven wrong.
A2
AI works in some domains, but is overhyped, and it's also bad for many different reasons.
@ZachWeinersmith A2.
It genuinely does work well in certain contexts (regrettably), but people overestimate its capabilities in many others. It’s unethically produced, it centralizes power, and it will be used to replace real people with inferior LLM-powered alternatives.
A1-A2 for LLMs
Some machine learning tools are transformational, but they're always about niche applications.
LLMs as such basically don't work. The harnesses work, and eventually the underlying LLMs will get pruned down to nothing.
@ZachWeinersmith B2
It could do a lot of work and replace most if not all human activities.
But why would you want that!?
art, plays, friends there meaning is largely in the life of the people who made them
B3
Terminator 2: Judgement Day
As much as we talk shit about the "slop" it is actually a real technology that they are using to great effect in surveillance and automated combat.
@ZachWeinersmith I'm A2, but I find the works/doesn't work binary too stark for my taste. I'd say something like "It has uses in some domains but is highly flawed and overhyped.
@ZachWeinersmith A2 leaning for A1, in the sense that the domains where it can be useful are most of the times better served by ad-hoc tools anyway
