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Dave Rahardja 馃巹
Dave Rahardja 馃巹
@drahardja@sfba.social  路  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

I鈥檓 not a #finance expert but this seems really bad. Banks haven鈥檛 needed this much cash infusion since the 2008 recession. On Oct 31, the Fed infused $51B of cash into one bank (they didn鈥檛 say which), and on Dec 28, they infused another $34B of cash into another bank (again they didn鈥檛 say which). This is after five years of zero such actions.

The article speculates that there is a short squeeze: banks have been shorting precious metals like silver and gold, but their prices have skyrocketed. They鈥檙e getting margin-called.

In any case, it seems that banks are suffering a liquidity crunch, to the tune of about $85B so far. Is this bad? This seems bad.

https://www.dcreport.org/2026/01/01/ny-fed-follow-up-34b-cash-infusions-wall-street/

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Billy Smith
Billy Smith
@BillySmith@social.coop replied  路  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

@drahardja

Something else that just occurred to me.

Both the Danish and German givernments were asking for their gold to be brought back from the NYC vaults, and from Fort Knox.

They were told that they would have to wait for the gold, and one suspicion is that it isn;t there, but has been sold as part of speculationg on the commodity markets.

But buying that gold back is now really exp[ensive... :D

It would give another reason to go to war over Greenland... 馃う

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Dave Rahardja 馃巹
Dave Rahardja 馃巹
@drahardja@sfba.social replied  路  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

@BillySmith Uh oh

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Legit_Spaghetti
Legit_Spaghetti
@Legit_Spaghetti@mastodo.neoliber.al replied  路  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

@drahardja Short selling always seems like such an awful, bad, no good, very dumb way to gamble to me. There's a hard cap on how much you can make, but no ceiling on how much you can lose.

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Billy Smith
Billy Smith
@BillySmith@social.coop replied  路  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

@Legit_Spaghetti @drahardja

This is why Short Selling was illegal for many years.

Also, why Spread Betting became regulated in the UK.

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Dave Rahardja 馃巹
Dave Rahardja 馃巹
@drahardja@sfba.social replied  路  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

@BillySmith @Legit_Spaghetti I鈥檓 of two minds about short selling. On the one hand, it鈥檚 definitely not for the financially strapped or the faint of heart, because it has potentially unlimited downside. On the other, it鈥檚 good that people have a way to bet on a downward movement of the stock price, because markets work best when there is a counter-balancing force on stock prices.

I wish there were a different mechanism for it, one that has a hard maximum on losses.

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Billy Smith
Billy Smith
@BillySmith@social.coop replied  路  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

@drahardja @Legit_Spaghetti

Have you come across the Dutch Auction approach?

Created to regulate the markets after the Tulip Bubble crash.

Tulip bulbs are posted at the maximum initial price, and the price gradually drops by pre-specified amounts, until it hits a minimum price, at wich point they are removed from sale.

The seller gets charged a percentage of the maximum price by the auction house, whether it sells or not.

Can you think of a way to adapt this for stocks?

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Dave Rahardja 馃巹
Dave Rahardja 馃巹
@drahardja@sfba.social replied  路  activity timestamp 2 weeks ago

PS: The article speculates one of the banks is JP Morgan, the largest bank in the US.

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