Discussion
Loading...

Post

  • About
  • Code of conduct
  • Privacy
  • Users
  • Instances
  • About Bonfire
Neil Brown
@neil@mastodon.neilzone.co.uk  ·  activity timestamp 12 hours ago

I am willing to gamble on ChatGPT etc being a bubble. A flash in the pan.

I'll probably not make some money that I could have made if I were saying how much I love it, but I am willing to take that risk, with a longer term view.

Students and others focussing on how to use these paid subscription services, to the exclusion of developing fundamental research, critical thinking, analysis, and other general purposes, transferable etc skills are, IMHO, taking a *much* greater risk.

  • Copy link
  • Flag this post
  • Block
penguin42
@penguin42@mastodon.org.uk replied  ·  activity timestamp 8 hours ago

@neil I think much of it is - but not all; people are finding genuine good uses for some of the LLMs and other AI; only in a few of the places being tried - but still, those are useful. So yep, it'll implode, and the lessons of the 2000 dot.com bubble is that there will be a lot of bankrupt data centre companies with part built setups. For legal, I'd bet it's pretty good for taking a human written document and suggesting additions for a human to check.

  • Copy link
  • Flag this comment
  • Block
Blender Dumbass ( J.Y.Amihud )
@blenderdumbass@mastodon.online replied  ·  activity timestamp 11 hours ago

@neil The way you wrote it, makes you sound like a lawyer.

Lawl

  • Copy link
  • Flag this comment
  • Block
The Penguin of Evil
@etchedpixels@mastodon.social replied  ·  activity timestamp 12 hours ago

@neil Stuff like ChatGPT can I think really only go two ways
- Either it continues to be mindbogglingly expensive and unreliable in which case there's no viable business model
- It or a subset of it can be done cheaply enough that it can be done locally, in which case there is no business model for cloud based generic "AI"

As with .com though most of the "AI" market (except by stock value) is boring, sound non hyped stuff like analysing images or voice recognition. Stuff nobody even notices.

  • Copy link
  • Flag this comment
  • Block
Cybermatron
@TheCybermatron@someone.elses.computer replied  ·  activity timestamp 12 hours ago

@neil To me, it has a “Second Life” vibe to it. It will probably hang around for a while and several serious people will try it out, use it for a while and then discard it when they realise that the “maintenance cost” of using the output professionally is higher than the benefit they get from it. But that may still take a little while.

  • Copy link
  • Flag this comment
  • Block
tautology
@tautology@infosec.exchange replied  ·  activity timestamp 12 hours ago

@neil I view it like the dotcom bubble of the late 90s: lots of money being ploughed in and 95% of those companies will not have a viable product or will be gone in 5 years.

There will be some companies that survive with some products that are useful, but it will be hard to predict from now.

There will be some cultural change, but it won't totally rewrite our society.

  • Copy link
  • Flag this comment
  • Block
Log in

bonfire.cafe

A space for Bonfire maintainers and contributors to communicate

bonfire.cafe: About · Code of conduct · Privacy · Users · Instances
Bonfire social · 1.0.0 no JS en
Automatic federation enabled
  • Explore
  • About
  • Members
  • Code of Conduct
Home
Login