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Derek Caelin is writing a book
@derek@social.coop  ·  activity timestamp 2 days ago

I read "The Limits to Growth" over the weekend. What a wakeup call, which is pretty impressive considering this is from 50 years ago!

This is a model of the "Standard Run" from the book. Note the exponential dropoff of resources as we continue to increase our consumption of a finite resource. If we don't change our approach, the world will change it for us... very rapidly, and very painfully.

Great book, if you're considering reading it. Plainspoken, clear, impactful, and short.

#bookstodon

The "standard" world model run assumes no major change in the physical, oconomic, or social relationships that have historically governed the de-
velopment of the world system. All variables plotted here follow historical values trom 1900 to 1970. Food, industrial output, and population grow exponentially until the rapidly diminishing resource base forces a siowdown in industrial growth. Because of natural delays in the system, both population and pollution continue to increase for some time after the peak of industrialization. Population growth is finally halted by a rise in the death rate due to decreased food and medical services.
The "standard" world model run assumes no major change in the physical, oconomic, or social relationships that have historically governed the de- velopment of the world system. All variables plotted here follow historical values trom 1900 to 1970. Food, industrial output, and population grow exponentially until the rapidly diminishing resource base forces a siowdown in industrial growth. Because of natural delays in the system, both population and pollution continue to increase for some time after the peak of industrialization. Population growth is finally halted by a rise in the death rate due to decreased food and medical services.
The "standard" world model run assumes no major change in the physical, oconomic, or social relationships that have historically governed the de- velopment of the world system. All variables plotted here follow historical values trom 1900 to 1970. Food, industrial output, and population grow exponentially until the rapidly diminishing resource base forces a siowdown in industrial growth. Because of natural delays in the system, both population and pollution continue to increase for some time after the peak of industrialization. Population growth is finally halted by a rise in the death rate due to decreased food and medical services.
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