Fulfilment of a long-time dream - to appear on the #Walescast pod!!! This was to talk about the recent flooding in #Monmouth and wider flood impact reduction.
#LosAngeles #SanDiego #rain #flooding #CAwx
Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 1230
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1053 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025
Areas affected...portions of southern California
Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible
Valid 180353Z - 180753Z
Summary...Flash flood potential continues for at least 2-4 more
hours.
Discussion...A warm conveyor continues to spread moderate to heavy
rainfall into portions of southern California near the Los Angeles
basin and adjacent areas of the Transverse Ranges. Recent
observations suggest that 0.5 inch/hr rain rates were falling over
or very near burn scars just north of Los Angeles, suggesting
continued potential for excessive runoff and debris flows.
Mesoanalyses indicate a continued fetch of southwesterly 850mb
flow into the region oriented parallel to the coastal ranges,
supporting continued orographic enhancement of rain rates at
times. PW values near an inch and weak surface-based instability
also continue to support the convective nature of the activity and
locally heavy rain rates.
Models suggest that these rates will continue to impact burn scar
areas over the next 2-4 hours (through 07Z or so) while
translating slowly eastward. Flash flooding will remain a
possibility, though this risk should become more isolated with
time as rain rates are expected to gradually weaken.
#LosAngeles #SanDiego #rain #flooding #CAwx
Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 1230
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1053 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025
Areas affected...portions of southern California
Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible
Valid 180353Z - 180753Z
Summary...Flash flood potential continues for at least 2-4 more
hours.
Discussion...A warm conveyor continues to spread moderate to heavy
rainfall into portions of southern California near the Los Angeles
basin and adjacent areas of the Transverse Ranges. Recent
observations suggest that 0.5 inch/hr rain rates were falling over
or very near burn scars just north of Los Angeles, suggesting
continued potential for excessive runoff and debris flows.
Mesoanalyses indicate a continued fetch of southwesterly 850mb
flow into the region oriented parallel to the coastal ranges,
supporting continued orographic enhancement of rain rates at
times. PW values near an inch and weak surface-based instability
also continue to support the convective nature of the activity and
locally heavy rain rates.
Models suggest that these rates will continue to impact burn scar
areas over the next 2-4 hours (through 07Z or so) while
translating slowly eastward. Flash flooding will remain a
possibility, though this risk should become more isolated with
time as rain rates are expected to gradually weaken.
CBS News: Sutter County man dies after vehicle swept off flooded road
"... a delivery driver arrived at Fifield Road west of Pleasant Grove Road and stopped at the bridge, which had about 2-3 feet of water flowing over the road from the recent rain.
A 71-year-old man, the recipient of the delivery, drove to the bridge in a 2016 Honda CX-5. Officers said he tried to cross the bridge, but the flowing water pushed the Mazda off the bridge and into the creek. .."
CBS News: Sutter County man dies after vehicle swept off flooded road
"... a delivery driver arrived at Fifield Road west of Pleasant Grove Road and stopped at the bridge, which had about 2-3 feet of water flowing over the road from the recent rain.
A 71-year-old man, the recipient of the delivery, drove to the bridge in a 2016 Honda CX-5. Officers said he tried to cross the bridge, but the flowing water pushed the Mazda off the bridge and into the creek. .."
Oh look, someone with those oven-mitt-like handlebar cover thingamabobers on their bike (or are those just plastic bags?!?!)
Ventura County is upstaffing fire crews for rain on Monday/Tues/Wednesday in case of flash flooding. I blame this on my removal of my vinyl rain gutters two weekends ago. #rain #CAwx #flooding #VenturaCounty
Hey NC locals: 🚗⛈️ Did #TropicalStormChantal affect your ability to get around? Take this quick, anonymous survey from UNC researchers to help understand transportation impacts from extreme weather. Your input helps local governments plan better recovery efforts. #Chantal#Flooding
go.unc.edu/chantalmobility:fedi
Hey NC locals: 🚗⛈️ Did #TropicalStormChantal affect your ability to get around? Take this quick, anonymous survey from UNC researchers to help understand transportation impacts from extreme weather. Your input helps local governments plan better recovery efforts. #Chantal#Flooding
go.unc.edu/chantalmobility:fedi
Yesterday: I've had it with hearing the same story over and over again—another 100-year-plus rainfall event, another tragic result from people occupying the floodplain without an adequate warning system. More pain. More loss. https://www.texasobserver.org/flooding-houston-hill-country-planning/
#water #environment #rivers #floods#Texas #politics#USpol#ClimateChange #weather #history #news
"The total amount of rainfall is not really changing but it is being condensed into more of these short, high-intensity events and then longer periods of drought. So we’re basically getting more drought and more #floods because the rainfall is being condensed into these high-intensity events." https://www.texasobserver.org/hill-country-rural-texas-resources-floods/
#Texas #weather#ClimateChange #science #news #politics#USpol #environment #water #flooding#CentralTexas#Kerrville
"The total amount of rainfall is not really changing but it is being condensed into more of these short, high-intensity events and then longer periods of drought. So we’re basically getting more drought and more #floods because the rainfall is being condensed into these high-intensity events." https://www.texasobserver.org/hill-country-rural-texas-resources-floods/
#Texas #weather#ClimateChange #science #news #politics#USpol #environment #water #flooding#CentralTexas#Kerrville
Our top story: What happens after the flood and the waters have receded? What comes after all that is left are fractured memories and moldy floorboards? https://www.texasobserver.org/hill-country-flood-family-home-fourth-of-july-2002/
#history #floods #flooding#CentralTexas#KerrCounty#Kerrville #water#ClimateChange #environment #weather #news
Our top story: What happens after the flood and the waters have receded? What comes after all that is left are fractured memories and moldy floorboards? https://www.texasobserver.org/hill-country-flood-family-home-fourth-of-july-2002/
#history #floods #flooding#CentralTexas#KerrCounty#Kerrville #water#ClimateChange #environment #weather #news
Many ways to document problems to #walking & #biking connections, incl. go.unc.edu/chantalbikeped
Many ways to document problems to #walking & #biking connections, incl. go.unc.edu/chantalbikeped
Deadly flooding hit parts of New Mexico yesterday, while significant street flooding occurred in Chicago. Flooding risks should cover the Carolinas through New Jersey today, with a focus on Virginia perhaps. The tropics remain calm.
Deadly flooding hit parts of New Mexico yesterday, while significant street flooding occurred in Chicago. Flooding risks should cover the Carolinas through New Jersey today, with a focus on Virginia perhaps. The tropics remain calm.
Several more inches of #rain are expected Sunday in areas of Central #Texas already devastated by #flooding. Up to 4" could fall Sunday, w/ isolated areas potentially receiving up to 10" thru Monday, per #NWS.
Jason Runyen, a meteorologist for Austin, San Antonio & the surrounding areas, said that while river levels across the region had receded, more rain could exacerbate flooding in the area. Flash flooding in the region killed >67 people, w/dozens missing.