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Jonathan Schofield boosted
ocrampal
ocrampal
@ocrampal@mastodon.social  ·  activity timestamp last week

Excel didn’t kill accountants; it gave them better tools. Yet, with AI, we’ve abandoned this logic in favor of a collective fantasy. We’re treating a sophisticated calculator as a human replacement rather than a human multiplier.

https://www.ocrampal.com/the-shared-delusion-both-doomers-and-dreamers-assume-current-technology-leads-to-agi-theyre-both-wrong/

#philosophy #science #psychology #AI #intelligence #physics #biology #philmind #philsci #philsky #philpsy #neurosky #neuroskyence

ocrampal`s place

The Shared Delusion: Both doomers and dreamers assume current technology leads to AGI. They’re both wrong

Excel didn’t kill accountants; it gave them better tools. Yet, with AI, we’ve abandoned this logic in favor of a collective fantasy. We’re treating a sophisticated calculator as a human replacement rather than a human multiplier. The reason for this shift is the "2-to-5-year" horizon. For decades,
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ocrampal
ocrampal
@ocrampal@mastodon.social  ·  activity timestamp last week

Excel didn’t kill accountants; it gave them better tools. Yet, with AI, we’ve abandoned this logic in favor of a collective fantasy. We’re treating a sophisticated calculator as a human replacement rather than a human multiplier.

https://www.ocrampal.com/the-shared-delusion-both-doomers-and-dreamers-assume-current-technology-leads-to-agi-theyre-both-wrong/

#philosophy #science #psychology #AI #intelligence #physics #biology #philmind #philsci #philsky #philpsy #neurosky #neuroskyence

ocrampal`s place

The Shared Delusion: Both doomers and dreamers assume current technology leads to AGI. They’re both wrong

Excel didn’t kill accountants; it gave them better tools. Yet, with AI, we’ve abandoned this logic in favor of a collective fantasy. We’re treating a sophisticated calculator as a human replacement rather than a human multiplier. The reason for this shift is the "2-to-5-year" horizon. For decades,
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Ulrike Hahn boosted
Nick Byrd, Ph.D.
Nick Byrd, Ph.D.
@ByrdNick@nerdculture.de  ·  activity timestamp 8 months ago

How are concepts like 'reasoning' and 'inference' defined?

#Philosophy has definitions that go way back (e.g., in #epistemology and #PhilMind). Now #computerScience are realizing a need for definitions.

This #openAccess#CS review takes a crack at them: https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2504.15900

"...we formalize reasoning as a structured, multi-step process that dynamically decomposes complex problems, generates intermediate hypotheses, and iteratively refines solutions through logical and evidence-based transformations."

"While inference I constitutes a single-step conditional probabilÎ𝑡=1 𝑇  ity computation 𝑃( 𝑦 |𝑥) = 𝑃( 𝑦 𝑡 |𝑥, 𝑦 <𝑡 ), reasoning R implements a meta-process coordinating multiple inference calls through explicit state management R(𝑥) = Φ 1 ◦ Φ 2 ◦ · · ·◦Φ 𝑛(𝑥). T"
"...we formalize reasoning as a structured, multi-step process that dynamically decomposes complex problems, generates intermediate hypotheses, and iteratively refines solutions through logical and evidence-based transformations." "While inference I constitutes a single-step conditional probabilÎ𝑡=1 𝑇 ity computation 𝑃( 𝑦 |𝑥) = 𝑃( 𝑦 𝑡 |𝑥, 𝑦 <𝑡 ), reasoning R implements a meta-process coordinating multiple inference calls through explicit state management R(𝑥) = Φ 1 ◦ Φ 2 ◦ · · ·◦Φ 𝑛(𝑥). T"
"...we formalize reasoning as a structured, multi-step process that dynamically decomposes complex problems, generates intermediate hypotheses, and iteratively refines solutions through logical and evidence-based transformations." "While inference I constitutes a single-step conditional probabilÎ𝑡=1 𝑇 ity computation 𝑃( 𝑦 |𝑥) = 𝑃( 𝑦 𝑡 |𝑥, 𝑦 <𝑡 ), reasoning R implements a meta-process coordinating multiple inference calls through explicit state management R(𝑥) = Φ 1 ◦ Φ 2 ◦ · · ·◦Φ 𝑛(𝑥). T"
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Nick Byrd, Ph.D.
Nick Byrd, Ph.D.
@ByrdNick@nerdculture.de  ·  activity timestamp 8 months ago

How are concepts like 'reasoning' and 'inference' defined?

#Philosophy has definitions that go way back (e.g., in #epistemology and #PhilMind). Now #computerScience are realizing a need for definitions.

This #openAccess#CS review takes a crack at them: https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2504.15900

"...we formalize reasoning as a structured, multi-step process that dynamically decomposes complex problems, generates intermediate hypotheses, and iteratively refines solutions through logical and evidence-based transformations."

"While inference I constitutes a single-step conditional probabilÎ𝑡=1 𝑇  ity computation 𝑃( 𝑦 |𝑥) = 𝑃( 𝑦 𝑡 |𝑥, 𝑦 <𝑡 ), reasoning R implements a meta-process coordinating multiple inference calls through explicit state management R(𝑥) = Φ 1 ◦ Φ 2 ◦ · · ·◦Φ 𝑛(𝑥). T"
"...we formalize reasoning as a structured, multi-step process that dynamically decomposes complex problems, generates intermediate hypotheses, and iteratively refines solutions through logical and evidence-based transformations." "While inference I constitutes a single-step conditional probabilÎ𝑡=1 𝑇 ity computation 𝑃( 𝑦 |𝑥) = 𝑃( 𝑦 𝑡 |𝑥, 𝑦 <𝑡 ), reasoning R implements a meta-process coordinating multiple inference calls through explicit state management R(𝑥) = Φ 1 ◦ Φ 2 ◦ · · ·◦Φ 𝑛(𝑥). T"
"...we formalize reasoning as a structured, multi-step process that dynamically decomposes complex problems, generates intermediate hypotheses, and iteratively refines solutions through logical and evidence-based transformations." "While inference I constitutes a single-step conditional probabilÎ𝑡=1 𝑇 ity computation 𝑃( 𝑦 |𝑥) = 𝑃( 𝑦 𝑡 |𝑥, 𝑦 <𝑡 ), reasoning R implements a meta-process coordinating multiple inference calls through explicit state management R(𝑥) = Φ 1 ◦ Φ 2 ◦ · · ·◦Φ 𝑛(𝑥). T"
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