When will there be AI superintelligence?
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@bignose why are you confident in that? LLMs are great at a lot of things that computers haven't done well previously.
@evan
> LLMs are great at a lot of things that computers haven't done well previously.
I hear this claim a lot, but it's never substantiated verifiably.
In fields where I understand the LLM output, it is unreliable plagiarism or unreliable garbage.
In fields where I need to rely on others more knowledgeable, those who *aren't incentivised to hype the LLM* report LLMs are unreliable plagiarism or unreliable garbage.
They're okay at language patterns. What are you saying they're great at?
@evan define superintelligence? My first Athlon many years ago could do arithmetic a billion times faster than I could. Every computer and computer program is superhuman in some specific way, or we wouldn’t keep making them
@evan that’s fair. I’m probably just too primed for people playing definitional games about AI. “AI is better than humans at this one specific task, therefore -[rhetorical sleight-of-hand], therefore all the predictions from Bostrom’s book are coming true.” But that’s not on you, that’s on me for not leaving those parts of Reddit sooner. :p
@rxp OK. I find the idea that we can't have a conversation without rigorous definitions for every term grating. We can talk about vague topics; one of the benefits of intelligence.
@evan The planet will die first.
@boz because of all the water and the energy that AI uses?
@boz@mastodon.uno @evan@cosocial.ca
Pretty sure they mean like, in general
@boz@mastodon.uno @evan@cosocial.ca
Turning it to something more concrete: do you think AGI is achievable through the same base approach as current-day LLMs?
I haven't a clue @evan.
What I am confident of, is that none of today's #AIBubble technology comes anywhere close, nor is it even pointed in the right direction.