@cwebber excellent post ... totally agree about the stakes and importance -- and about how so much of this crackdown is driven by fear of (and hate for) the net's possibilities for helping trans, queer, and questioning youth. And also totally agree about the importance of decentralized technologies! I've been working on a somewhat-similar post, including looking back at the 2008-ish golden age of organizing on the social networks and focusing on the grassroots organizing and activism that's needed ... on the way there, a few quick thoughts.
Because there's a difference between now and 2012. The internet feels a lot less like an "our thing" than it used to.
That's certainly true, and along with that there's also been a change in the politics and strategy of big tech companies. In the battles over net neutrality and SOPA/PIP, the big consumer-facing tech companies were largely on our side, and social networks were good turf for organizing. Today, they're actively aligning with fascist and authoritarian governments -- and hostile to organizing and activism that tries to resist fascism, authoritariamism and the surveillance-industrial complex. Algorithm changes and moderation practices are two aspects of that; their acceptance of age verification requirements is another.
Decentralized social networks offer a potential alternative. There are currently some big barriers but oh well, if changing the world were easy everybody would do it. And there are some real opportunities here, even with today's technologies and limited adoption. Can the Fediverse Help Stop Bad Internet Bills, explored this a couple of years ago, and we've come a long way since then. My Fediforum presentation on Organizing, Mutual Aid, and Activism from last fall and this spring's unworkshop presentation on Legislative Activism in the ATmosphere and the Fediverse have more on the possibilities.
It feels like people are tired.
Yep. Living under fascism is exhausting, the economy sucks for many people, and long covid is a factor too. And, this is only one of many battles that need fighting -- as important as it is, threats like ICE and CBP, and losing access to gender-affirming health care, are a lot more immediate.
And it feels like the PR for locking things down has more acceptance publicly than before.
Also true. First of all big tech companies really are abusive and there's a justifiable feeling that something needs to be done. With big tech's lobbying power, the short-term prospects of passing strong privacy or anti-trust legislation are bleak, and it's not obious to most people how they'd help with kids safety.
Shoddy rsearchers like Jonathan Haidt overstate the harms of social media on kids and ignore the benefits (especially to margainalized kids and teens), and the Age Vendors Providers Association and anti-LGBTQIA23+ hate groups overstate the value (and understate the harms) of age verification. Plus it's been very hard to counter talking points like the false analogy to showing your ID to buy alcohol -- and at least so far age verification backers have done a good job of dismissing the evidence that it doesn't work.
On top of that, big tech and their allies in anti-LGBTQIA2S+ hate groups has been very good at spreding the myth that these bills will "hold big tech accountable." As I just discussed in KOSA, the KIDS Act, AI, Bad Internet Bills, and a potential giveaway to big tech , Meta, Microsoft, Apple, X, Snap, Pinterest, and OpenAI all support KOSA. They wouldn't be doing that if it were really holding them accountable!
Which brings us back to a potential role of decentralized social networks: getting accurate information out there to equip people to refute these talking points, both with the public and with legislators. Mainstream media is owned by big corporations (and doesn't care about youth or LGBTQIA2S+ people), so we need to work around that. There are enough of us here that if folks have the tools to use our real-world social networks and 1-1 online communications tecnologies to persuade people, it can really make a difference.
Anyhow ... a long response but as you can tell this has been something I've been thinking about a lot!