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Strypey
@strypey@mastodon.nzoss.nz  ·  activity timestamp 2 months ago

(2/2)

> Packer is not Turia

Don't be so sure. Here she is singing the "kingmaker" song again;

https://omny.fm/shows/the-bradbury-group/debbie-ngarewa-packer-on-by-election-fallout-teanau-tuiono-john-tamihere-matthew-tukaki-bradbury-group

I can imagine a scenario where TPM form a centrist coalition with Nats+TOP to keep ACT and Winston First out. Ferris and Tamahere's dogwhistles to socially conservative Māori could even suggest they'd considering going with Nats+WF to keep ACT out.

Labour cannot treat TPM votes as if they're Labour votes. A coalition must be *negotiated*, on policy, not taken for granted.

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Strypey
@strypey@mastodon.nzoss.nz replied  ·  activity timestamp 2 months ago

NatACT First's voter suppression tactics are motivated by 2 things;

1) Challengers benefit tend to more from a high turnout than incumbents

2) Left-leaning parties tend to benefit more from high turnout than those leaning right

The single most important thing the left need to do over the next year is to get as many people signed up on the electoral roll as possible. Especially young people, like those who weren't old enough to vote in 2023.

#Election2026 #VoterSuppression

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Simply Simon
@Salty@mastodon.nz replied  ·  activity timestamp 2 months ago

@strypey Ferris & Tamahere’s dog whistles were extremely disappointing. We all know TPM throw more to the activist end of the spectrum but that is just not an opinion you can accept in a progressive society.

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