#Tag · bonfire.cafe

#Tag

After decades of the one-child policy, the decline in China's fertility rate was inevitable, like a boulder rolling down a hill. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2026/01/28/world/reversing-china-demographic-decline/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #commentary #worldnews #children #births #demographics #china #taiwan #us #sweden #finland

The Japan Times

@thejapantimes@mastodon.social · 3 weeks ago

As immigration puts a strain on things such as housing and health care, Switzerland is asking itself: Is 10 million people too many? https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/01/19/world/society/switzerland-10-million-people/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #worldnews #society #switzerland #demographics #eu #europe #davos

The Japan Times

@thejapantimes@mastodon.social · 4 weeks ago

Japan is one of the world’s safest countries. So why do so many people feel uneasy? This week, @AlexktMartin takes a look at crime, perception and the growing gap between data and fear. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/01/12/japan/society/japan-safety-security-crime/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #japan #society #demographics #crime #tokyo #adachiward #saitama #depopulation #elderly #expats

The Japan Times

@thejapantimes@mastodon.social · last month

Japan is the fastest aging nation in the world. Now that we're closer to 2050 than 2000, how will that affect the generation now coming of age? https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/12/29/japan/society/japan-2050-predections-depopulation/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #japan #society #depopulation #aging #demographics #teens #elderly #comingofageday #lifeexpectancy #rurallife #women039sissues

Nick Byrd, Ph.D.

@ByrdNick@nerdculture.de · 2 months ago

Imagine a software error assigned two people to the final #conference speaking slot and you have to decide which person is removed from the program.

Guess which factors predicted whether people #canceled a speaker.

(The survey respondents were 1540 German citizens.)

2 media

"In the experiment, participants were confronted with a canceling problem. Specifically, they were asked to imagine that they are responsible for organizing a conference on ophthalmology. Due to a software error, two speakers have been mistakenly assigned to the last available speaking slot, and it is impossible to let both of them present. The task requires the participants to make a difficult decision: one of the two speakers must be removed from the list of presenters. Participants were informed that they had conducted online searches for both professional and personal information about the speakers and had a brief phone conversation with each to confirm their interest in presenting at the conference. They were also told that each speaker had made either a politically charged or a neutral statement, conveyed either during the private phone conversation or through a blog or social media post."

"Texts used as framing stimuli in the choice experiment.

IMPORTANT: Research has shown that the best decisions are those that are made [intuitively and from the gut] [using logic and reasoned thinking]. In the following, we are interested in your [intuitive] [deliberate] decisions. Therefore, please decide in each case, as [spontaneously] [thoughtfully] as possible, from which of the two sellers you would buy." — "Texts used as framing stimuli in the choice experiment. IMPORTANT: Research has shown that the best decisions are those that are made [intuitively and from the gut] [using logic and reasoned thinking]. In the following, we are interested in your [intuitive] [deliberate] decisions. Therefore, please decide in each case, as [spontaneously] [thoughtfully] as possible, from which of the two sellers you would buy."

Nick Byrd, Ph.D.

@ByrdNick@nerdculture.de replied · 2 months ago

(1) Speaker #demographics, publication output, and public endorsement of controversial policies predicted greater odds of being canceled.

(2) Those factors had lower odds of being canceled when people were instructed to decide as intuitively as possible.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.poetic.2025.102023

"Among all types of attributes, clearly the class of politically incorrect statements stand out. Speakers that utter strong skepticism towards immigration have a 5.99% higher probability of getting cancelled than speakers that express their admiration for sunsets. Denying human-made climate change or expressing the belief in biologically grounded ability differences between the sexes lead also to a higher probability of getting cancelled (4.62% and 2.95%, respectively). In addition, the subjects take into consideration the reach of the (controversial) statements...."

"...the reflective treatment consistently results in a higher probability of canceling across all politically incorrect statements, thereby confirming H1. This is most pronounced for statements related to immigration and climate change. The finding suggests that when induced to think about their decisions, subjects may feel a greater responsibility to adhere to social norms regarding political correctness." — "Among all types of attributes, clearly the class of politically incorrect statements stand out. Speakers that utter strong skepticism towards immigration have a 5.99% higher probability of getting cancelled than speakers that express their admiration for sunsets. Denying human-made climate change or expressing the belief in biologically grounded ability differences between the sexes lead also to a higher probability of getting cancelled (4.62% and 2.95%, respectively). In addition, the subjects take into consideration the reach of the (controversial) statements...." "...the reflective treatment consistently results in a higher probability of canceling across all politically incorrect statements, thereby confirming H1. This is most pronounced for statements related to immigration and climate change. The finding suggests that when induced to think about their decisions, subjects may feel a greater responsibility to adhere to social norms regarding political correctness."

Cancel like you mean it! dual processes, dual attitudes, and moral hypocrisy in cancel culture

Charlie Stross

@cstross@wandering.shop · 4 months ago

@quixoticgeek Consider that the fall of Russia is largely down to economic mismanagement—they failed to transition from a resource extraction economy to a skills economy, and they're losing the war because resource export chokepoints are vulnerable to air attacks—and the AI bubble is due to investors seeking shelter for their capital.

I don't understand it but these look like huge pieces of a 21st century jigsaw puzzle (energy transition from oil to renewables, end of Moore's Law hitting tech).

JdeBP

@JdeBP@mastodon.scot replied · 4 months ago

@cstross @quixoticgeek

Everyone forgets #India. There's a plausible case to be made that India just waits out the now inevitable demographic timebomb that has been ticking away for years in the Russian Federation, and just takes over the Russian Far East by dint of being the majority people left there.

I first came across this idea via a random recommendation of #ElviraBary, but xe is not the only person talking about this.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=JKRqEj5PpDU

#RussiaUkraineWar #Russia #demographics